Sunday, October 11, 2009

How many Shenandoah University students infiltrate our community each fall?

How many Shenandoah University students infiltrate our community each fall?

This Shenandoah University / Bridgewater College / James Madison University comparison on the number of students that infiltrate our community each year should help to put this in perspective.

Basically, one would take ¾ of the population of Winchester (25,897 estimate 2008) and inject those folks in the City of Harrisonburg (40,885 estimate 2006) each fall.  The town of Bridgewater has a population of 5,203 as of year 2000.

Not 100% sure IF SU's 3,393 students is counting the satellite campuses or not so the number of students that are within the 22601 area is not that transparent.


City of Winchester:
25,897 / 1658 undergrad + ???? out of 1295 grad-students = total # of students living in the Winchester area
3,393 Shenandoah (undergraduate+graduate)

Town of Bridgewater:
5,203 / 1500 Bridgewater College

City of Harrisonburg:
40,885 / 17,964 James Madison (total on-campus enrollment)


SU breakdown:

Student profile, fall 2007
• 3,393 students
1,234 men (36%) and 2,159 women (64%)
Approximately 1/2 of the student body is undergraduate students; the remaining half is graduate students in master's or doctoral-degree programs.
• 314 international students come from 73 foreign countries.
• U.S. students come from 49 states plus the District of Columbia.
• The average age of undergraduate students is 24; the median is 21.
• Students profess different religions faiths including: Buddhism, Baha'i, Hinduism, Islam, Judaism, Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints, Orthodox Christian (Russian, Romanian, and Greek), and other Western Christian, non-denomination, and other non-Christian groups. Largest denominational representations include Roman Catholic, United Methodist, and Anglican (Episcopal).
• 3.4% international (non-Green card holders)
• 4.8% Black, non-Hispanic
• .2% American Indian/Alaskan Native
• 2.5% Asian/Pacific Islander
• 1.4% Hispanic
• 31.3% White, non-Hispanic
• 56.5% declined to state

Incoming Undergraduate Students
• 193 men (48%) and 205 (52%) women
• 1.76% international (non-Green card holders)
• 11.31% Black, non-Hispanic
• .75% American Indian/Alaskan Native
• 1.76% Asian/Pacific Islander
• 2.26% Hispanic
• 72.36% White, non-Hispanic
• 9.8% declined to state

All Graduate Students
• 350 men (27.03%) and 945 (72.97%) women
• 4.48% international (non-Green card holders)
• 3.45% Black, non-Hispanic
• .08% American Indian/Alaskan Native
• 2.09% Asian/Pacific Islander
• 1.78% Hispanic
• 35.37% White, non-Hispanic
• 52.74% declined to state

All First-Professional (Doctor of Pharmacy) Students
• 174 (39.55%) men and 266 (60.55) women
• 1.36% international (non-Green card holders)
• .91% Black, non-Hispanic
• .00% American Indian/Alaskan Native
• 5.23% Asian/Pacific Islander
• .91% Hispanic
• 14.09% White, non-Hispanic
• 60.45% declined to state

Student Life
• Seven coed, single and double room residence halls
• Honors and quiet halls are available.
• 745 undergraduate students live in institutional supported housing.
• 913 undergraduates reside in off-campus in non-institutional supported housing.
• Students may choose from 44 different clubs and organizations.
• There are 16 varsity, two club sports and several intramural sports.
• First- and second-year students are required to live on campus.
• The 40,000 square-foot Brandt Student center, opened in May, 2008, is the hub of student activities.

Admissions (Fall 2007)
• 1,281 undergraduate applications were received for a first-year class of 397 full-time, first-time, degree-seeking freshmen students.
• They came from seven countries and 22 states.
• 242 came from a Virginia high school.
• 153 from an out-of-state high school.
• Two were home-schooled.
• One entered with a GED.
• The average high school GPA is 3.2.
• 57 percent of the freshman scored between a 2.5 and 3.5 high school GPA.
• 19 percent scored about a 3.75 percent high school GPA
• 14 percent of the freshmen were in the top 10 percent of their graduating class;
• 38 percent were in the top 25 percent, and 65 percent were in the top 50 percent.
• The median SAT score for admitted students was over 1500, including the writing test.
• 96.67 percent submitted SAT scores. The combined average SAT is 1503 including the new writing test.
• 21.28 percent submitted ACT scores. The average ACT score is 20.
• Of 189 transfer students, 99 were from two-year Virginia junior colleges, 21 from Virginia four-year institutions, and 69 from four-year out-of-state institutions.
• 64% of those applying to master's-level programs were accepted.
• 42% of those applying to master's-level programs including nursing, certificates in health-care management, family nurse practitioner, psychiatric mental health, music therapy, athletic training, occupational therapy, and physician's assistant



Fast Facts about Bridgewater College
  • Location: In the town of Bridgewater (population 5,203) in the scenic Shenandoah Valley, eight miles from the city of Harrisonburg.
  • Students: Approximately 1500 men and women mainly from Virginia and the mid-Atlantic states; 25 other states and eight countries represented.
  • Faculty: 96 full-time faculty members.
  • Student-faculty ratio: 14 to 1.
  • Activities: More than 70 campus organizations, including campus radio, student government, campus plays, pep band, dance team, cheer leading, student recitals, films, art exhibits, visiting scholars, comedians, and concerts by the college choirs, symphonic band, and jazz band. Students sometimes drive to Richmond, Charlottesville, and Washington, D.C. for museums, ballet, opera, musical concerts, movies, and other cultural and entertainment opportunities.
  • Athletics: 21 intercollegiate teams; member of the NCAA Division III and Old Dominion Athletic Conference; a wide variety of intramural sports and sports clubs.
  • Alumni: Approximately 15,000.



Now take a look at JMU's numbers:


On-campus Students (Fall 2008)

Undergrad Degree-Seeking: 16,619
Graduate Degree-Seeking: 1,136
Non-Degree-Seeking: 209
Full-Time: 17,078
Part-Time: 886
In-State: 70.3%
Out-of-State: 29.7%
Total on-campus enrollment : 17,964


Applicant details (Fall 2008)


Entering Class Applicants: 19,245
Enrolled: 3,957
Mean SAT (verbal and math only) Score (Freshman): 1148
Transfer Applicants: 1,781
Enrolled: 651
Total applicants: 21,026

Saturday, October 10, 2009

Sherando answered the call everytime to get a 21-17 win over James Wood

For James Wood, missed opportunities to finish up drives and must quit trying to arm tackle.  JW's Tinsman had multiple opportunities where he rolled out to pass and had a plethora of real-estate in front of him to pick up much positive yardage vs. waiting for receiver to open up.  If he tucks and run on those roll outs, then it would have opened up the passing game.  Not knocking him, but hopefully his instincts will kick in sooner to recognize that opportunity in the future.  Lockhart had to work his tail off for the yardage that he got tonight. 

As for Sherando, they answered JW's call repeatedly.  The Warriors D came to play and was hitting hard all night long.  Dalton Boyd can flat out fly!  His 94yd kick-off return in 4th quarter was the difference.  Blackwood was difficult to bring down tonight, every-time it appeared that he was stopped, he managed to turn a stop/loss into a positive gain more than just one occasion.

Sherando has some athletes and look for Tre Porter to be a difference maker in the 2nd half of the Warriors season.  James Wood will rebound and get back on a roll to finish up the regular season at the Handley Bowl that will have huge playoff implications.

Great atmosphere up on the Ridge tonight!   Good stuff for the citizenry of Frederick County & Winchester!

Friday, October 9, 2009

Economic Impact on the City if Winchester Baseball is able to host the 2011 10yr World Series

Wanted to share with the local community that the perception taken from this e-mail sent on October 8, 2009 sent from WPRD official [Mike White, Operations Superintendent] is that they are finally admitting that the previous numbers presented by [Brad Veach, WPRD Director] to City Council back in February of $1.2-$2million were skewed and not researched thoroughly.  These numbers of $1.2-$2million were disputed back in late February after they were presented to City Council for consideration for requesting money by WPRD for improvements to the Rotary Field.  The concern was meant by WPRD resistance in the failure to acknowledge the twisted figures until this October 8th e-mail.
-----Original Message-----
From: Michael White
Date: Thu, Oct 8, 2009 at 10:04 AM
Subject: economic impact study
To: The1nOnlyPibb@gmail.com

I read your blog…pretty interesting information.

I’d be interested in looking at your figures on the economic impact of having the Babe Ruth World Series come to Winchester.  We’ve seen different studies and different methods of calculating the impact on these tournaments and events.  What we’ve found is the impact numbers are approximate figures and that it’s tough to determine the exact impact.  I’d be interested in taking a look at your numbers and see what you used for a dollar turnover multiplier, etc.  I’ve run the numbers myself using different formulas than what was initially provided.  I used an average daily spending amount recommended by a national expert in parks & recreation from Texas A&M University.  What I came up with was in between your figures [$337k-$472k] and the $1.2 million figure previously mentioned in the newspaper.

Also, if you’re interested in an update on Bridgeforth field and where the renovations stand, feel free to swing by or give me a call.  Kevin Sine and John gave you accurate information on the current project but I can let you know where the committee currently stands and what our plans are moving forward.

Thanks,
Mike
Michael White, CPRP
Operations Superintendent
Winchester Parks & Recreation Department
1001 East Cork Street
Winchester, VA  22601
(540) 667-1573 - phone
(540) 678-8791 - fax

For the record, these numbers of $1.2-$2million economic impact for hosting a World Series event were sent from the Babe Ruth Headquarters.  Organizations considering hosting such an event much realize that the headquarters executives will make it appear as lucrative as possible because they need host cities each year and the league host officials should do their due diligence.

-----Original Message-----
From: Bradley Veach [mailto:bveach@ci.winchester.va.us]
Sent: Saturday, February 28, 2009 10:53 AM
To:
Subject: RE: local economic impact


It seems to be the standard formula that Babe Ruth shares with all communities in which a World Series is hosted.  I understand what you are saying but I don’t think you realize that the $400K pumped into the community is unrealized beyond the event.  For example, the hotel is paying its staff with this money; their staff goes out and buys something from a local business that pays taxes to the locality, etc.  Most of the money collected will flow through the community beyond the 10 day event.  The communities that host the Series range anywhere from 11,000 people to over 80,000 people according to the folks I personally spoke to in IN, CO, and LA.  Indiana has hosted 4 tournaments over the years and they were pushing Babe Ruth to make them the host site as they realized the dramatic impact it had on their local economy.  Of course, Babe Ruth only allows one area to host it year after year and that is in Aberdeen so their request was not approved.


Folks who use this formula locally did not question the numbers.  I’ve shared this with some local businesses and tourism folks who use these types of formulas all the time and they did not question it.  I think they probably have a better economic background that you or I and realize the potential of this 10 day event and they have the greatest potential to reap the benefits of such an event.


Thanks for your thoughts.  Have a good weekend.

Brad


-----Original Message-----
From:
Sent: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 8:42 PM
To: 'Bradley Veach'
Subject: RE: local economic impact


Brad,

Just wanted to share what I have learned about this compounding factor formula.  Babe Ruth is using an economic impact spending study on a university town.  The University of Georgia is an annual/reoccurring impact on that local economy.  The WS event is just a 10-day event.  That is like comparing apples to oranges.

I believe their figure of $414,600 is a high estimate and is in the ballpark.  I am working on a more detailed analysis of potential revenue that could be drawn into the City of Winchester.  Again, I am concerned about this $1.2 - $2 million dollar figure is being communicated with the community.  Some people will be under the impression that $1.2-2million will be flowing into this town for this 10-day event and that is very misleading.

Again, I am not against the World Series coming to Winchester but I do like this revenue number being thrown out that is unrealistic.

http://www.terry.uga.edu/news/releases/2002/uga_spending.html

 

What are Economic multipliers?

To learn more about Economic multipliers and how they should be viewed with much skepticism, click on the following:

Tuesday, October 6, 2009

Is Bridgeforth Field finally getting the proposed $4.2million dollar makeover?









Baseball enthusiasts should easily remember the architectural drawing that was made public during the Winchester Royals games back in late summer of 2008.  Bridgeforth Field Field serves as a home field for Shenandoah University, Handley High School, Winchester Royals and Winchester Baseball.

Unfortunately the picture(s) taken today, October 6th is not (IMHO) part of the $4.2million dollar renovation project.  This repair work can be easily viewed as a band-aid fix to a much deteriorated press-box at Bridgeforth field in Jim Barnett Park.  The $4.2 million renovation project includes a NEW press-box, new concession stand, new restrooms, new team rooms, new dugouts along with an A-Turf infield.

WPRD associates (Kevin Sine and John Haines) along with a hired outside contractor are removing the old siding on the press-box and will be installing new vinyl siding and new windows.  Also, involved in this project will be Mr. Robertson's tech-ed class from Handley High School.  The students from Handley will be doing work within the press-box that should include a new press row counter-top and maybe some pre-owned cabinets and new wall paneling.

It should not be a surprise to the local fans that the remodeling work on the press-box at Bridgeforth field will be a reason to justify [if approved] WPRD and City Council spending less than $500k on the renovations needed at Rotary Field that will enable Winchester Baseball to host the 2011 10-yr Cal-Ripken World Series.

Nobody is against Winchester Baseball hosting such an event BUT many local residents are against taxpayers money being spent for this event since Bridgeforth Field (constructed 1978) has many known problems, including an infield that is about as safe as playing Russian roulette with the baseballs hit at the infielders.

Also, this financial economic impact described in the article below on the local community of $1.2 - $2 million is very misleading [its not actual dollars being spent] but is determined on a economic multiplier formula.


To learn more about Economic multipliers and how they should be viewed with much skepticism, click on the following:

An in-depth research indicates a more realistic dollar range of $337k-$472k [actual dollars] that potentially could be spent in the City of Winchester for hosting such an event.  If anyone who would like to see that spreadsheet used to arrive at these figures, please send request to The1nOnlyPIBB(at)gmail(dot)com

To close, since the Bridgeforth Renovation committee meetings are few and very far between, makes many wonder, will the $4.2 million dollar makeover at Bridgeforth Field ever come to fruition? 






Winchester has chance to host Babe Ruth W.S.

By Ben Brooks
The Winchester Star
February 19, 2009

WINCHESTER — Winchester Baseball President Bob Brown knows that area youth players can compete on the national level. As a coach, he’s seen it before. Now, he hopes the rest of the Winchester community will get a first-hand look as well.

They could get that opportunity if nearly $500,000 worth of improvements can be made to Jim Barnett Park’s Rotary Field in time for the 2011 Cal Ripken/Babe Ruth 10-year-old World Series.

“It would be a real plus for Winchester Baseball and the community to host this and for our children to be able to play on a national stage,” Brown said Wednesday. “And they would be able to compete. We’ve played in two World Series over the years and numerous regional tournaments.”

Brown, along with other members of Winchester Baseball, petitioned the national Babe Ruth Baseball organization several years ago about bringing the showcase event to this area. Winchester has hosted several state and regional tournaments in previous years. Last fall Brown and several Winchester Baseball representatives were invited to a training session in Van Buren, Ark., to learn more about how to prepare for such an event.

“They said it’s ours if we can make the commitment and get some things done,” Brown said.

The bulk of the money used for improvements to Rotary Field would go toward building a larger press box. Upgrades would also be needed in lighting, dugouts, and seating.

Winchester Parks and Recreation Director Brad Veach, who Tuesday night presented City Council with the idea of Winchester hosting the 2011 tournament and the price tag for necessary field improvements, said the next step is to gauge how much support there is for such a project within the community.

The councilors said they would be more inclined to support hosting the tournament if the expenses were shared regionally and through sponsorships with local businesses.

“Now’s the hard part,” Veach said. “During these tough economic times there’s not a whole lot of money to give away. I’m going to do what they asked and try to get that community support.

“Winchester Baseball is a major fundraiser. They’ve made great improvements on the fields over the years. I wouldn’t put anything past them. If they’re passionate about something they’ll do whatever they can.”

Both Brown and Veach stressed that a tournament like a Babe Ruth World Series would likely bring in more money to the local economy than it would cost.

Citing an economic analysis that Babe Ruth Baseball does for host cities, Veach said that areas normally generate between $1.2 and $2 million over the 10-day tournament. That money comes from hotels (an estimate of 700 rooms needed) meals at local restaurants, gas and other expenditures.




Bridgeforth Field entire complex pics, taken back in late June 2008: